[1]程花花 郑婷婷 万涛 张琛 章意成.安庆气温的多重分形消除趋势波动分析与预测[J].计算机技术与发展,2010,(12):65-68.
　CHENG Hua-hua,ZHENG Ting-ting,WAN Tao,et al.Multifractal and Detrended Fluctuation Analysis and Forecast of Air Temperature in Anqing[J].,2010,(12):65-68.
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安庆气温的多重分形消除趋势波动分析与预测()
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《计算机技术与发展》[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
期数:
2010年12期
页码:
65-68
栏目:
智能、算法、系统工程
出版日期:
1900-01-01

文章信息/Info

Title:
Multifractal and Detrended Fluctuation Analysis and Forecast of Air Temperature in Anqing
文章编号:
1673-629X（2010）12-0065-04
作者:
程花花1 郑婷婷1; 2 万涛1 张琛1 章意成1
[1]安徽大学数学科学学院[2]安徽大学智能计算与信号处理教育部重点实验室
Author(s):
CHENG Hua-hua; ZHENG Ting-ting; WAN Tao; ZHANG Chen; ZHANG Yi-cheng
[1]Department of Mathematical Sciences,Anhui University[2]Ministry of Edu.Key Lab.of Intelligent Computing ＆ Signal Processing,Anhui Univ
关键词:
气温变化; 多重分形; MF-DFA方法; Hurst指数
Keywords:
temperature variation;  multifractal;  MF-DFA method;  Hurst index
分类号:
TP391
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
气温变化的研究对人类的生产生活具有重要的指导意义。运用多重分形消除趋势波动分析法（MF-DFA方法）先对安庆1961年至2008年的日平均气温与春夏秋冬四季的平均气温进行分析,然后预测安庆未来四季气温的变化趋势。通过分析发现安庆的日平均气温与春夏秋冬四季的平均气温均存在多重分形现象。并且预测未来四季气温变化的趋势是：春秋两季气温整体呈上升趋势变化不明显,并有可能下降,与过去的气温变化趋势有较弱的相反性;夏冬两季气温变化整体趋势将继续上升,与过去的变化趋势保持一致
Abstract:
Studying temperature variation has important guiding significance to the human life.By using multifractal and detrended fluctuation analysis method,it analyzed the daily average temperature and the seasonal average temperature of Anqing from 1961 to 2008,and then forecasted the future tendency of seasonal temperature variation.The results show that both the daily average temperature and the seasonal average temperature have multifractality,they are summarized as fellows： the overall trend of temperature variation in spring and autumn will not rise obviously,and is likely dropped,which has weakly contrary to the past.The overall trend of temperature variation in summer and winter will rise obviously,which is consistent with the past

相似文献/References:

[1]万涛 郑婷婷 张琛 章意成.不同股市的多重分形特性分析——基于统计物理和MF-DFA方法[J].计算机技术与发展,2010,(12):225.
　WAN Tao,ZHENG Ting-ting,ZHANG Chen,et al.Analysis of Multifractal Characteristics in Different Stock Market——Based on Method of Statistical Physics and MF-DFA[J].,2010,(12):225.
[2]张琛 郑婷婷 万涛 程花花 章意成.基于多重分形参量Cq的股票市场分析[J].计算机技术与发展,2011,(01):178.
　ZHANG Chen,ZHENG Ting-ting,WAN Tao,et al.Stock Market Analysis Based on Parameter Cq of Multifractal[J].,2011,(12):178.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
安徽省高等学校省级自然科学研究项目（KJ2007B239）程花花（1986-），女，硕士研究生，主要研究领域为人工智能；郑婷婷，博士，副教授，硕士生导师，主要研究领域为人工智能、分形
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01